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NYAY Can Be a Game-Changer: BTVI Survey Predicts Tilt in Favour of The Congress

In 90 out of 123 seats in 115 aspirational districts in the country, the UPA could gain more than thrice the number of seats it won in 2014, as per the survey.

A survey conducted by Business Television India (BTVI)  has revealed that the Nyuntam Aay Yojana (NYAY) scheme promised by the Congress party can be a “game changer” ahead of the Lok Sabha elections.

In 90 out of 123 seats in 115 aspirational districts in the country, the survey indicated that the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) could gain more than thrice the number of seats it won in 2014 Lok Sabha polls. While the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance’s (NDA’s) numbers will drop from 60 to 31.

The BTVI mentioned in its report that out of these 90 seats, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) had won 40, the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) 33 and others 17 in 2009. In 2014, the NDA tally was up at 60, the UPA was down to 11 and others were 19. With NYAY in the picture, the BTVI survey predicts that the UPA’s tally can go up to 38 seats in 2019, while the NDA’s can drop to 31.

Also Read: Consulted Big Economists Including Raghuram Rajan On NYAY: Rahul Gandhi

Per the analysis by BTVI, Bihar has 17 Lok Sabha seats among aspirational districts, Jharkhand 14, Madhya Pradesh 11, West Bengal 11, Uttar Pradesh 9, Odisha 7, Assam 6, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and Rajasthan 5 each, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana 4 each, Gujarat, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Punjab 3 each, Uttarakhand 2, and one each in Haryana, Arunachal Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, Kerala, Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland, Sikkim and Tripura.

The Nyay scheme — the minimum income guarantee scheme announced by Congress president Rahul Gandhi — promises that every family among the poorest 20 per cent will get income support of Rs 6,000 a month. Per a tweet by Congress General Secretary Priyanka Gandhi, this money will go directly to the accounts of women in the households.

The 115 districts identified by the NITI Aayog in 2018 as ‘aspirational districts’ are underdeveloped in comparison to other districts of the country and need accelerated programmes to achieve development objectives. These districts also have a high percentage of historically ousted communities like the Scheduled Castes, Scheduled Tribes and Muslims. According to the survey, Congress’ NYAY initiative is likely to impact the results in aspirational districts in Bihar, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, UP, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Assam.

Also Read: NYAY Proposed By Congress Will Have Far-Reaching Impact On People Of Bihar: Tejashwi Yadav

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